Equities Climb as Oil Drops Before Inflation Print

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Macro Overview

U.S. Equities (IVV) rose 0.88%, catching a structural bid ahead of critical inflation data later this week. Developed Ex-U.S. (EFA) climbed 0.72%, while Emerging Markets (EEM) advanced 1.97% to lead broad global equity gains. Broad Commodities (DJP) lagged significantly, dropping 1.64% on persistent energy market weakness. Fixed income saw modest gains across the duration curve as yields consolidated before the upcoming consumer price index print.

U.S. Size & Style

Growth universally outperformed Value across all market capitalizations during Monday’s session. Large Growth (IVW) paced the large-cap segment with a 1.58% gain, while Mid Growth (IJK) led the entire style box by rising 1.81%. Conversely, Small Value (IJS) was the sole laggard, slipping 0.08% and remaining technically weak with negative momentum year-to-date.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Large Growth (IVW) 1.58% -2.26% -3.33% -2.82% 24.62%
Large Cap (IVV) 0.88% -2.26% -0.40% -0.52% 19.29%
Large Value (IVE) 0.07% -2.35% 2.99% 2.04% 13.38%
Mid Growth (IJK) 1.81% -2.03% 6.62% 6.59% 21.79%
Mid Cap (IJH) 0.98% -4.04% 4.63% 4.38% 16.95%
Mid Value (IJJ) 0.11% -6.16% 2.58% 2.02% 11.91%
Small Growth (IJT) 0.97% -4.08% 2.81% 4.19% 16.92%
Small Cap (IJR) 0.46% -5.02% 3.51% 4.32% 18.06%
Small Value (IJS) -0.08% -5.92% 4.15% 4.30% 18.91%

U.S. Sectors & Industries

Technology (XLK) reclaimed market leadership, advancing 1.80% on renewed momentum in the semiconductor and software sub-industries. Health Care (XLV) also showed robust strength, gaining 1.02% to push its 3-Month performance back into positive territory. Financials (XLF) and Energy (XLE) faced headwinds, shedding 0.47% and 0.44% respectively, reflecting lingering pressure on traditional cyclicals.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Technology (XLK) 1.80% -2.50% -5.44% -2.92% 28.69%
Health Care (XLV) 1.02% -1.32% 3.30% -0.35% 5.15%
Industrials (XLI) 0.59% -1.59% 11.91% 10.20% 29.06%
Materials (XLB) 0.26% -4.20% 15.80% 10.23% 16.09%
Utilities (XLU) 0.24% 7.75% 10.41% 9.74% 24.67%
Consumer Staples (XLP) 0.22% -1.67% 11.12% 10.67% 6.59%
Real Estate (XLRE) 0.21% 1.73% 7.28% 6.52% 4.65%
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) 0.13% -2.52% -2.68% -4.04% 12.38%
Communication Services (XLC) 0.09% 0.58% 1.33% -0.14% 18.64%
Energy (XLE) -0.44% 5.00% 24.28% 25.97% 33.14%
Financials (XLF) -0.47% -6.69% -5.21% -8.11% 3.87%

Global Thematic

Artificial intelligence and digital infrastructure themes dominated thematic leadership, with Roundhill Generative AI & Technology (CHAT) advancing 4.98% to capture the top spot. Uranium and nuclear energy plays also caught a strong bid, evidenced by Global X Uranium (URA) climbing 4.69%. Meanwhile, cannabis-related strategies faced persistent selling pressure, as AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis (MSOS) dropped 4.25% to lead the laggards.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day
Leaders
Roundhill Generative AI & Technology (CHAT) 4.98%
VistaShares Artificial Intelligence Supercycle (AIS) 4.75%
Global X Uranium (URA) 4.69%
Sprott Uranium Miners (URNM) 4.27%
iShares Blockchain and Tech (IBLC) 4.26%
Laggards
AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis (MSOS) -4.25%
Amplify Alternative Harvest (MJ) -2.97%
Amplify Seymour Cannabis (CNBS) -2.29%
Alerian Energy Infrastructure (ENFR) -1.06%
Global X MLP & Energy Infrastructure (MLPX) -1.06%

Developed ex-U.S. & Emerging Markets

South Korea (EWY) delivered a 5.65% daily gain, extending its massive 145.94% 1-Year advance and remaining well above its 50-day moving average. Broad Emerging Markets (EEM) benefitted from strength in Brazil (EWZ) and Taiwan (EWT), which rose 2.26% and 1.78% respectively. Within developed markets, the Netherlands (EWN) and Australia (EWA) posted solid upside, though European peers like Germany (EWG) advanced at a more constrained pace.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Developed Markets
Netherlands (EWN) 1.89% -5.97% 5.04% 3.86% 26.26%
Australia (EWA) 1.87% 0.10% 11.41% 10.19% 24.75%
Japan (EWJ) 1.03% -6.19% 6.69% 6.07% 27.69%
Developed ex-U.S. (EFA) 0.72% -4.81% 5.67% 3.08% 21.44%
Germany (EWG) 0.66% -7.29% -1.06% -3.32% 7.62%
U.K. (EWU) 0.59% -1.55% 10.05% 5.25% 27.29%
Canada (EWC) 0.46% 0.60% 7.63% 4.97% 42.08%
France (EWQ) 0.14% -5.94% 0.48% -1.76% 8.50%
Hong Kong (EWH) -0.13% -2.53% 10.14% 8.89% 33.26%
Switzerland (EWL) -0.21% -3.85% 5.75% 1.75% 16.14%
Emerging Markets
South Korea (EWY) 5.65% 6.22% 43.28% 37.72% 145.94%
Brazil (EWZ) 2.26% -3.44% 17.39% 16.78% 57.66%
South Africa (EZA) 2.10% -4.91% 13.52% 4.65% 64.08%
Emerging (EEM) 1.97% -3.40% 8.73% 6.84% 34.76%
Taiwan (EWT) 1.78% 0.00% 12.63% 11.38% 44.49%
China (MCHI) 1.67% -6.94% -4.84% -4.00% 4.33%
Thailand (THD) 1.60% -2.78% 12.63% 11.85% 28.41%
Indonesia (EIDO) 1.17% -6.82% -11.35% -12.30% -0.56%
Mexico (EWW) 0.23% -8.40% 8.74% 6.58% 48.83%
India (INDA) -0.02% -6.47% -6.18% -7.53% 1.83%
Malaysia (EWM) -0.77% -5.23% 8.91% 3.33% 25.93%

Fixed Income

Fixed income markets caught a structural bid, with longer-duration assets generally outperforming as investors positioned for potential macroeconomic softening. Convertible Bonds (CWB) led the specialty segment with a 1.68% advance, reflecting underlying equity market correlation. Government Long (SPTL) also trended higher, rising 0.75% to extend its year-to-date climb to 2.64%.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Multisector
Taxable Long Term (BLV) 0.77% 1.42% 2.04% 2.21% 5.50%
Taxable Core (AGG) 0.32% 0.59% 1.65% 1.21% 6.21%
Taxable Core Enhanced (IUSB) 0.30% 0.46% 1.53% 1.10% 6.35%
Taxable Short-Term (BSV) 0.10% 0.20% 1.11% 0.59% 5.19%
Government
Government Long (SPTL) 0.75% 2.01% 2.53% 2.64% 4.22%
Inflation Protected (TIP) 0.16% 0.77% 1.70% 1.55% 5.54%
Government Intermediate (SPTI) 0.14% 0.53% 1.36% 0.90% 6.02%
Taxable Ultrashort (BIL) 0.01% 0.28% 0.86% 0.64% 4.03%
Government Short (SPTS) 0.00% 0.12% 0.96% 0.46% 4.47%
Specialty
Convertible (CWB) 1.68% -2.11% 2.72% 4.37% 21.85%
Bank Loans (BKLN) 0.74% -0.33% -0.81% -1.35% 5.11%
Taxable High Yield (HYG) 0.60% -0.44% 1.10% 0.41% 6.95%
Mortgage Backed (MBS) 0.38% 0.71% 2.20% 1.41% 7.44%
Corporate (SPIB) 0.24% 0.25% 1.36% 0.81% 6.92%
Preferred Stock (PFF) 0.16% -0.98% 1.87% 1.35% 6.37%
International & EM
Emerging USD (EMB) 0.22% -0.37% 1.37% 0.51% 10.97%
International USD (BNDX) 0.14% 0.08% 0.93% 0.83% 4.50%
International (IGOV) 0.02% -2.01% 1.47% 0.43% 7.65%
Emerging (EMLC) -0.12% -2.99% 1.51% -0.09% 13.02%
Municipals
Municipal Intermediate (MUB) 0.12% 0.17% 1.64% 1.06% 4.48%
Municipal Short (SUB) 0.09% -0.07% 1.02% 0.64% 3.64%
Municipal Long (MLN) 0.06% 0.49% 1.49% 1.04% 3.50%
Municipal High Yield (HYD) 0.03% -0.01% 1.07% 0.22% 2.49%

Commodities

The commodity complex faced broad selling pressure, led by a 4.08% decline in WTI Crude Oil (USO) and weakness across the Energy (DBE) segment. Agricultural markets were similarly soft, with Wheat (WEAT) dropping 2.67%, though Sugar (CANE) bucked the trend with a 3.59% gain. Precious metals exhibited pockets of resilience, as Palladium (PALL) rose 3.74% and Silver (SLV) gained 3.06% despite Gold (GLD) slipping marginally.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Broad Commodities (DJP) -1.64% 10.65% 21.68% 21.32% 31.92%
Agriculture
Sugar (CANE) 3.59% 5.60% 3.21% 0.56% -16.58%
Agriculture (DBA) -0.60% 3.11% 4.17% 4.04% 3.78%
Soybeans (SOYB) -0.78% 5.49% 6.56% 10.80% 12.57%
Corn (CORN) -1.73% 4.48% 1.39% 2.65% -4.56%
Wheat (WEAT) -2.67% 11.28% 11.28% 15.07% -4.45%
Energy
Energy (DBE) -2.79% 28.06% 38.57% 42.80% 37.76%
Brent Crude Oil (BNO) -2.80% 31.37% 49.16% 50.85% 47.21%
Natural Gas (UNG) -3.45% 1.15% -12.70% 0.41% -46.92%
Gasoline (UGA) -3.54% 19.42% 30.35% 36.66% 43.06%
WTI Crude Oil (USO) -4.08% 33.72% 49.34% 50.85% 44.72%
Industrial Metals
Copper (CPER) 0.76% -2.37% 9.95% 2.69% 21.78%
Industrial Metals (DBB) 0.04% 0.75% 13.23% 6.02% 27.51%
Precious Metals
Palladium (PALL) 3.74% -3.06% 11.52% 5.39% 76.20%
Silver (SLV) 3.06% 2.92% 41.85% 21.48% 164.48%
Platinum (PPLT) 2.42% 1.79% 28.15% 6.26% 124.86%
Precious Metals (DBP) 0.53% 1.64% 24.87% 18.60% 86.67%
Gold (GLD) -0.21% 1.18% 21.97% 19.23% 76.06%

Cryptocurrency

Digital assets enjoyed a broad relief rally, with Ethereum (ETHA) outpacing peers by climbing 2.95% over the latest session. Bitcoin (IBIT) advanced a more moderate 1.37%, struggling to break out of its recent multi-month consolidation pattern. Despite the positive daily action, the entire asset class remains sharply negative year-to-date, reflecting lingering headwinds.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
XRP (XRP) 1.25% -6.06% -35.24% -25.15%
Solana (SOLZ) 1.28% -2.24% -39.16% -31.17%
Bitcoin (IBIT) 1.37% -2.44% -25.96% -21.19% -20.84%
Multi-Coin (NCIQ) 1.55% -2.49% -28.92% -22.99% -21.65%
Ethereum (ETHA) 2.95% -4.12% -38.94% -31.48% -5.76%

What to Watch Today

Market participants are overwhelmingly focused on tomorrow morning’s highly anticipated Consumer Price Index release for February. This inflation print will be the final, critical piece of macroeconomic data evaluated by the Federal Reserve before their upcoming policy meeting on March 17. Any hotter-than-expected core services data could trigger immediate repricing across both equity and fixed income markets.

This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.