Real Estate Shines Amidst Broad Market Pause; All Eyes on Consumer Inflation Expectations

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Daily Review & Preview: September 8, 2025


U.S. markets closed the previous trading session with a mixed but mostly quiet tone as investors digested a surprisingly weak August jobs report. The report, which showed the addition of only 22,000 jobs, fell far short of expectations and fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may be forced to cut interest rates sooner than anticipated. The S&P 500 (IVV) ticked down slightly by -0.27%, reflecting the market’s uncertainty. While a slowing labor market raises economic concerns, the prospect of more accommodative monetary policy provided a counterbalance, leading to a day of consolidation.

Key Market Performance
Index/AssetTicker1-Day % Change
S&P 500IVV-0.27%
S&P Small Cap 600IJR+0.31%
Developed ex-U.S.EFA+0.45%

U.S. Size & Style

A clear divergence emerged across market capitalizations. Mid-caps (IJH +0.49%) and small-caps (IJR +0.31%) outperformed their large-cap peers, suggesting a modest risk-on rotation into more cyclically sensitive areas of the market. Small-cap value (IJS +0.62%) had a particularly strong showing, while large-cap growth (IVW -0.09%) lagged.

TickerName1-Day % Change
Top 2 Performers
QQQJInvesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF+1.09%
VBKVanguard Small-Cap Growth ETF+1.09%
Bottom 2 Performers
RVERTrenchless Fund ETF-1.66%
KOOLNorth Shore Equity Rotation ETF-1.37%

U.S. Sectors & Industries

Rate-sensitive and defensive sectors led the market, likely benefiting from the drop in bond yields. Real Estate (XLRE) was the standout performer, gaining +1.01%. Materials (XLB) also showed strength with a +0.70% advance. On the other end, cyclical sectors tied to economic growth expectations lagged significantly. Energy (XLE) was the worst performer, tumbling -1.93%, followed closely by Financials (XLF), which fell -1.83%.

Sector1-Day % Change
Real Estate+1.01%
Materials+0.70%
Communication Services+0.53%
Health Care+0.34%
Consumer Staples+0.29%
Technology+0.08%
Consumer Discretionary-0.02%
Utilities-0.31%
Industrials-0.37%
Financials-1.83%
Energy-1.93%

Global Thematic

Thematic ETFs saw dramatic divergence. Green energy and technology-enabling themes soared, with the Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF (LIT) rocketing +7.53%. In stark contrast, themes tied to traditional energy infrastructure, such as the Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP), fell -0.77%, mirroring the weakness in the broader energy sector.

TickerName1-Day % Change
Top 2 Performers
LITGlobal X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF+7.53%
TANInvesco Solar ETF+4.81%
Bottom 2 Performers
AMLPAlerian MLP ETF-0.77%
ENFRAlerian Energy Infrastructure ETF-0.69%

Developed Markets ex-U.S.

International developed markets generally outperformed their U.S. counterparts, posting modest gains. The broad iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) rose +0.45%, with strength seen in markets like New Zealand and Sweden.

TickerName1-Day % Change
ENZLiShares MSCI New Zealand ETF+1.68%
EWIiShares MSCI Italy ETF-0.38%

Emerging Markets

Emerging markets displayed notable strength, with the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) climbing +1.20%. Gains were powered by strong rallies in South Africa (EZA +2.39%) and China (MCHI +1.74%), while markets like Turkey experienced losses.

TickerName1-Day % Change
EZAiShares MSCI South Africa ETF+2.39%
TURiShares MSCI Turkey ETF-1.19%

Fixed Income

The fixed income market reacted directly to the weak labor data. Investors flocked to the safety of long-term government bonds, pushing prices higher and yields lower. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) gained +1.52%. Meanwhile, the high-yield corporate bond market (HYG) was relatively unchanged, up a slight +0.05%.

CategoryTicker1-Day % Change
Government Long-TermSPTL+1.36%
Corporate IntermediateSPIB+0.24%
Taxable High YieldHYG+0.05%

Commodities

It was a tale of two markets in commodities. Precious metals rallied on the back of lower rate expectations, with gold (GLD) advancing +1.33%. In contrast, energy prices fell sharply on concerns of slowing economic demand, with WTI crude oil (USO) declining -2.09%.

TickerName1-Day % Change
GLDSPDR Gold Shares+1.33%
USOUnited States Oil Fund LP-2.09%

Cryptocurrency

The digital asset space saw broad-based gains, bucking the uncertainty seen in traditional equity markets. Bitcoin (IBIT) rose +1.72% and Ethereum (ETHA) climbed +1.46%, indicating continued investor interest in the asset class.

TickerName1-Day % Change
IBITiShares Bitcoin Trust+1.72%
ETHAiShares Ethereum Trust ETF+1.46%

What to Watch Today

The key event on today’s calendar is the release of the **NY Fed’s Survey of Consumer Expectations**. Following Friday’s soft jobs number, the market’s attention has pivoted squarely to inflation. This report’s data on consumer inflation expectations will be critical. If consumers anticipate inflation will remain high, it could complicate the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut rates, even with a weakening labor market. Conversely, a lower inflation expectation figure would bolster the case for monetary easing, likely providing a tailwind for both equities and bonds. Investors will scrutinize this release for any clues about the future path of inflation ahead of the official CPI report later this week.


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Disclosures

This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.