Flight to Safety: Risk Assets Retreat While Dollar, Yen See Elevated Volumes

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Macro Summary

Trading volume across the ETF universe was relatively muted, totaling $238.9B with activity levels reaching just 85% of the 30-day average. The day’s trading was characterized by a distinct “risk-off” tone and a flight to safety, evidenced by a massive surge in the Currency asset class (221% of average activity), largely driven by flows into the U.S. Dollar. While Equities and Digital Assets faced selling pressure, Fixed Income remained resilient with elevated activity (111% of average), particularly in short-duration government bonds, while Commodities managed to post positive returns on the day.

Asset Class Summary

Asset Class Volume 30D Avg. % of 30D Avg.
Equity $155.0B $191.4B 81%
Fixed Income $32.9B $29.6B 111%
Commodity $10.6B $9.9B 107%
Digital Asset $8.0B $7.8B 102%
Currency $163.5M $74.0M 221%
Alternative $1.1B $1.5B 75%
Non-Traditional $31.0B $41.5B 75%
Multi-Asset $170.8M $172.9M 99%

Equity

Equity markets saw lighter than usual participation with $155.0B in total volume, representing 81% of the 30-day average. The session’s activity was driven by notable strength in the “Equity: Sector – Health Care” category (finishing the day down 1.71%), which saw elevated flows relative to recent trends. Additionally, the “Equity: Region – Latin America” category saw a spike in activity (212% of average), largely driven by heavy turnover in ILF (closing -0.51%). Significant idiosyncratic action was also observed in IYM, which traded 1637% of its normal volume.

High-Volume Categories (>$100M Traded)

Category Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1-Day Return
Equity: Sector – Health Care 125% $4.9B -1.71%
Equity: Sector – Utilities 126% $1.3B -1.91%
Equity: Region – Latin America 212% $139.3M -0.24%

High-Activity Ticker Outliers

Ticker Name Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1D Return
IYM iShares U.S. Basic Materials ETF 1637% $173.4M -0.33%
DBEU Xtrackers MSCI Europe Hedged Equity ETF 887% $31.8M -0.30%
IPAC iShares Core MSCI Pacific ETF 686% $37.2M -0.68%
FXR First Trust Industrials/Producer Durables AlphaDEX Fund 685% $57.4M -0.52%
FDV Federated Hermes U.S. Strategic Dividend ETF 622% $17.9M -0.76%
IYH iShares U.S. Healthcare ETF 579% $230.1M -1.63%
SDIV Global X Superdividend ETF 545% $38.6M +0.08%
DTCR Global X Data Center And Digital Infrastructure ETF 522% $53.5M -0.43%
QQQJ Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF 481% $19.3M -0.67%
GWX SPDR S&P International Small Cap ETF 458% $13.1M -0.44%

Fixed Income

Fixed Income stood out as a hub of activity, with $32.9B in volume representing 111% of the 30-day average. This activity was heavily concentrated in the “Fixed Income: Taxable – Government Ultrashort” category (finishing the day down 0.17%), which saw trading volumes surge to 175% of normal levels. Emerging market debt also drew significant attention, with the “Fixed Income: Taxable – Emerging USD” category trading 172% of its average volume. At the ticker level, this trend was largely driven by heavy turnover in CLIP (closing -0.32%) and YEAR (closing -0.38%), both of which saw exceptionally high activity relative to their averages.

High-Volume Categories (>$100M Traded)

Category Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1-Day Return
Fixed Income: Taxable – Government Ultrashort 175% $6.1B -0.17%
Fixed Income: Taxable – Emerging USD 172% $1.2B -0.68%
Fixed Income: Municipal – High Yield 153% $106.0M -0.40%
Fixed Income: Taxable – Bank Loans 139% $621.5M -0.30%
Fixed Income: Taxable – Government Long 135% $5.8B -1.31%

High-Activity Ticker Outliers

Ticker Name Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1D Return
CLIP Global X 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF 555% $123.4M -0.32%
YEAR AB Ultra Short Income ETF 396% $31.6M -0.38%
VTC Vanguard Total Corporate Bond ETF 373% $20.5M -0.83%
BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF 331% $22.1M -0.51%
FLBL Franklin Senior Loan ETF Franklin Liberty Senior Loan Fund 330% $31.7M -0.65%
TBLL Invesco Short Term Treasury ETF 299% $55.0M +0.01%
PCY Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF 266% $18.2M -0.66%
HYMB State Street SPDR Nuveen ICE High Yield Municipal Bond ETF 247% $38.9M -0.89%
BUXX Strive Enhanced Income Short Maturity ETF 240% $12.0M -0.02%
VRP Invesco Variable Rate Preferred ETF 229% $25.4M -0.06%

Commodities

Commodities traded $10.6B in volume, ending the day at 107% of the 30-day average. While activity ratios were highest in “Commodity: Specialty – Shipping Freight” (364% of average), the total volume was primarily driven by the “Commodity: Focused – Precious Metals” category (finishing the day up 0.39%). This volume was largely driven by heavy turnover in SIVR (closing +2.65%) and SLV (closing +2.66%), highlighting the demand for precious metals exposure in a risk-off environment.

High-Volume Categories (>$100M Traded)

Category Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1-Day Return
No categories met the high-volume criteria.

High-Activity Ticker Outliers

Ticker Name Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1D Return
SIVR abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF 279% $237.0M +2.65%
SLV iShares Silver Trust 250% $3.2B +2.66%
GLTR abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF 233% $29.5M +0.85%
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity Indexed Trust 173% $36.3M +0.09%
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund 163% $15.7M +0.24%

Digital Asset

Digital Assets experienced a challenging session, trading $8.0B in volume, which is 102% of the 30-day average. The selling pressure was broad-based, with significant declines observed across the “Digital Asset: Cryptocurrency – Bitcoin” category (finishing the day down 5.02%). No specific tickers registered as high-activity outliers, indicating that the elevated volume was likely distributed across the major funds rather than concentrated in specific products.

High-Volume Categories (>$100M Traded)

Category Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1-Day Return
No categories met the high-volume criteria.

High-Activity Ticker Outliers

Ticker Name Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1D Return
No high-activity ticker outliers for this asset class.

Currency

Currency ETFs saw the highest relative activity of any asset class, with $163.5M in volume representing 221% of the 30-day average. This surge was almost entirely concentrated in the “Currency” category (finishing the day down 0.01%), largely driven by heavy turnover in UUP (closing -0.02%). The elevated volume in the U.S. Dollar funds underscores the flight-to-safety theme prevalent in the broader market.

High-Volume Categories (>$100M Traded)

Category Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1-Day Return
Currency 221% $163.5M -0.01%

High-Activity Ticker Outliers

Ticker Name Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1D Return
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund 260% $84.4M -0.02%
FXY Invesco Currencyshares Japanese Yen Trust 166% $13.5M +0.45%

Alternatives

Alternative ETFs were quiet, with $1.1B in volume, or 75% of the 30-day average. The majority of this volume occurred in Volatility products, though activity levels were generally subdued across the board. No specific category met the high-volume threshold for the day, and there were no significant ticker outliers to report.

High-Volume Categories (>$100M Traded)

Category Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1-Day Return
No categories met the high-volume criteria.

High-Activity Ticker Outliers

Ticker Name Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1D Return
No high-activity ticker outliers for this asset class.

Non-Traditional

Non-Traditional ETFs saw $31.0B in volume, coming in at 75% of the 30-day average. While overall activity was low, the “Non-Traditional: Leverage | Inverse – Commodity” category (finishing the day down 0.43%) saw elevated interest. This specific pocket of activity was largely driven by heavy turnover in AGQ (closing +4.42%), which traded over 300% of its average daily volume, aligning with the broader move in silver prices.

High-Volume Categories (>$100M Traded)

Category Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1-Day Return
Non-Traditional: Leverage | Inverse – Commodity 150% $1.5B -0.43%

High-Activity Ticker Outliers

Ticker Name Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1D Return
FTQI First Trust Nasdaq BuyWrite Income ETF 1608% $53.0M -0.36%
PDEC Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF – December 1128% $58.7M -0.22%
FTHI First Trust BuyWrite Income ETF 670% $65.0M -0.38%
RDVI FT Vest Rising Dividend Achievers Target Income ETF 572% $64.9M -0.44%
PJUL Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF – July 339% $14.2M -0.09%
AGQ ProShares Ultra Silver 310% $611.9M +4.42%
FNOV FT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF – November 257% $7.4M -0.19%
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR ETF 214% $323.3M -4.97%
BUCK Simplify Treasury Option Income ETF 211% $7.0M -0.04%
TLTW iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond BuyWrite Strategy ETF 202% $57.2M -0.96%

Multi-Asset

Multi-Asset funds traded $170.8M, sitting right at 99% of the 30-day average. The day’s action was uneventful for the asset class, with no categories meeting the high-volume criteria. Activity was largely driven by INCM (closing -0.37%), which saw slightly elevated turnover, but overall, the sector remained quiet.

High-Volume Categories (>$100M Traded)

Category Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1-Day Return
No categories met the high-volume criteria.

High-Activity Ticker Outliers

Ticker Name Activity vs ADV $ Volume 1D Return
INCM Franklin Income Focus ETF Income Focus ETF 160% $11.8M -0.37%

Disclaimer: This AI-assisted commentary is for informational purposes only. The “High-Volume Categories” table includes categories with over $100M in volume and activity at least 125% of their 30-day average, limited to the top 5 by volume. The “High-Activity Ticker Outliers” table shows the top 10 ETFs from each asset class, sorted by the highest trading activity versus their 30-day average. All reported ETFs have AUM over $250M and an ADV greater than $2.5M.

Disclosures: This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.